Competition Demystified: Chapter 1

By Saj Karsan, Sunday, February 19, 2012, 6:04 AM | , | 1 comments »

The author of the excellent book for beginners, Value Investing: From Graham to Buffett..., is back, this time with a book about how to understand and analyze competitive advantages. Investors interested in better understanding what gives a company a competitive advantage must give this book a read.
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The Upside Of Irrationality: Chapter 11

By Saj Karsan, Saturday, February 18, 2012, 6:55 AM | , | 0 comments »

Through a series of experiments, Dan Ariely documents the many ways in which humans behave irrationally. By understanding these human tendencies, we can both learn to behave more rationally when it is to our benefit, and better understand why those around us are behaving in the way they are.
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Canadian Housing Bubble, or Vancouver Housing Bubble?

By Saj Karsan, Friday, February 17, 2012, 6:28 AM | | 0 comments »

When the US underwent its housing bubble (and subsequent burst) a few years ago, there were a few signs of trouble. New home inventories were high, as expectations were through the roof (never a good sign). Home builders traded several times their book values, suggesting extreme optimism and over-building (to capitalize on unsustainably high profit margins). Price to rent and price to income ratios skyrocketed.

Today, many are saying similar residential real estate bubbles are occurring in China, Australia and Canada to name a few. As a home owner in Canada, I'm interested in studying this phenomenon so as to ensure I don't end up on the wrong side of it
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Danier: That's A Lot Of Leather

By Saj Karsan, Thursday, February 16, 2012, 6:39 AM | | 1 comments »

Yesterday, Oddball Stocks had a great write-up of Danier Leather as a potential value investment. I wrote about Danier almost a year ago, but since then it has had a successful few quarters, accumulating cash while improving margins. At the same time, its price has actually fallen some 20%, making it much more attractive. If you're interested, go ahead and read the post at Oddball. The only thing I would add is that there is a dual-class share structure, and so the incentive for management may be skewed towards growing the company rather than returning the company's substantial cash hoard ($32 million in cash versus a market cap of $50 million) to shareholders.

Disclosure: No position
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Shareholder Interests Aren't All The Same

By Saj Karsan, Wednesday, February 15, 2012, 6:47 AM | 1 comments »

Management will act in its own best interests, and for this reason investors should ensure that management's interests are aligned with theirs. Sometimes, however, management may be swayed to act in the interests of major shareholders, whether under the threat of a hostile takeover or as part of a courtship process for a friendly merger. Investors armed with this knowledge are in a position to better understand what is about to take place, and may thus make investment decisions that are in tune with their investment strategies.
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Does Dacha Deserve To Be Your Valentine?

By Saj Karsan, Tuesday, February 14, 2012, 6:57 AM | | 0 comments »

Rare earth metals are used in all sorts of applications from lightbulbs to hybrid cars. Their prices are rather volatile, and have swung dramatically in recent quarters on supply/demand issues and export restriction news out of China. Value investors may not be interested in buying rare earth metals at market prices...but what if they could be purchased at a major discount?
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Amtech Trades Like It's Broke

By Saj Karsan, Monday, February 13, 2012, 6:58 AM | | 0 comments »

You probably won't find a lot of value investors in the solar industry. As a relatively nascent industry, it hasn't yet proved its economic viability. Moreover, that viability is based on the prices of substitutes (e.g. natural gas, wind power etc.) and perhaps the support of the agents of taxpayers (i.e. politicians). Finally, there is a commodity-like element to this industry, as companies fight to provide relatively undifferentiated products to customers only interested in price.

This introduces a ton of risk into the equation for anyone trying to value a solar stock to any reasonable degree of certainty. But sometimes, could a balance sheet be so pristine that it trumps many of the downside risks, leaving only the upside potential of this volatile industry to the investor?
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