Upon further inspection, it turns out that not all shareholder equity is owned by the common shareholders. A good chunk of it is in preferred shares, which trade as separate securities (MHO-A). If we back out the value of the preferreds, the discount to book value changes from 58% to just under 49%, which still remains relatively attractive.
But the question of future writedowns remains a concern for this industry, as we discussed here. MHO is not as geographically diversified as many other home builders, and has a large percentage of its business in Florida, one of the hardest hit areas of the housing crash. In fact, the vast majority of MHO's $22 million in writedowns in Q1 took place in Florida.
But even if MHO requires writedowns of the same magnitude as what they had last quarter ($22 million) for the next four quarters, they would still be trading at a 35% discount to book value for common shareholders. At their slow sales pace of last quarter, they would get through their inventory in about one and a half years.
As an aside, I am a little bit concerned about management excesses. During the real-estate bubble, it seems they went out and bought a rather large airplane. To lower costs, they traded down to a smaller plane last quarter, picking up $9.5 million in the trade. It's a move in the right direction, but nevertheless it seems rather strange that a $500 million home builder requires its own airplane, but perhaps I'm just too nitpicky.
Overall, however, this company appears to have been over-punished by the markets, and as such offers a margin of safety. I would recommend this stock be owned as part of a long-term, well diversified, value portfolio.Disclosure: None