Wednesday, April 8, 2009

Williams Sonoma Continues To Show Value

This article originally appeared on The Div Net on April 1st, 2009.

Back in January, we discussed Williams Sonoma (WSM), a specialty retailer of home products, as a possible value investment. Since then, the stock is up some 20% while the company's latest results indicate that it does indeed have the ability to weather the economic storm.

Sales in Q4 2008 fell almost 27%, which would be enough to send many companies deep into the red. With WSM's relatively flexible cost structure, however, it managed to eek out a profit. With a drop in sales of that magnitude, one would ordinarily expect a battered gross margin and ballooning SG&A costs as a percentage of sales. The company has managed to cut its costs drastically however, showing a gross margin of 34% and SG&A costs as a percentage of sales only 1.5 points higher than last year (after backing out impairment charges).

Many of the company's cost cutting initiatives won't be seen until next year's results, however. As the company gets its cost structure in line with depressed demand (including by renegotiating certain of its operating leases), it expects be able to derive profits between $1 and $2 per share for 2009. Not a bad return when you consider the share price of $10 and the minimal downside risk considering WSM's balance sheet strength, with some select items shown below:

Cash: 150 million
Inventory: 570 million
Current Assets: 940 million
Debt: 24 million
Market Cap: 1.1 billion

Disclosure: Author has a long position in WSM


Anonymous said...

their products are expensive compared to Ikea and other places.. humm

also, total debt seems to be over 700 million. humm, am I missing anything here?? I often am =))

thanks for your great articles everyday, I can't help but going to your site everyday


Saj Karsan said...

Hi 008, thanks for the kind words about the site.

What's your source on that debt figure? Their 10-K shows total debt of around $24 million. Be careful not to confuse total liabilities with total debt, in case that's what happened.

Anonymous said...

I'm looking at the total liabilities number from their press release... hummmm.....

I have a feeling that debt is the same as liabilities when it comes to book value/net net calculation... I could be very well wrong though....


Saj Karsan said...

Hi 008,

Yes in a liquidation situation, all liabilities must be paid off so in that respect debt and liabilities should be treated the same. From a return on capital point of view for a going concern, however, they should be treated very differently as debt represents a claim against future earnings. Interesting topic, perhaps for a future blog post! ;)

Anonymous said...

look forward to your future blog in the area of debt and liability discussion =)