Tuesday, September 20, 2011

Telltale Signs Of A Lying CEO?

On this site, some time has been spent discussing how investors can tell if management is behaving in a questionable manner. There are some tip-offs based on EPS rounding, as well as some clues based on management candor. But recently, two researchers pored over conference call verbiage and determined that conference call discussions can reveal whether there is a greater likelihood that management is being deceitful.

Investors are encouraged to listen to conference calls, as they contain a wealth of information that is not available in written releases. But according to Stanford researchers Larcker and Zakolyukina, they reveal much more than originally thought. They contend that deceptive CEOs "have more references to general knowledge, fewer non-extreme positive emotions, and fewer references to shareholders value and value creation. In addition, deceptive CEOs use significantly fewer self-references, more third person plural and impersonal pronouns, more extreme positive emotions, fewer extreme negative emotions, and fewer certainty and hesitation words."

Investors interested in looking out for some of these tendencies of deceptive managements can download the entire paper here.


MuniDude said...

I like you mean wealth of information instead of dearth.

Anonymous said...


I think you meant "wealth" of information rather than "dearth" of information, right? :-)

- aagold

Saj Karsan said...

Haha, yup I've corrected it thanks!