Friday, August 3, 2012

Alco Stores: Net-Net Buybacks

Stocks trading at discounts to their net current assets often look cheap. But investors fear what the the company is going to do with its capital. Companies often trade at such large discounts when they have made poor acquisitions or can't control expenses relative to revenues. But what happens if a company trading at such a discount buys back its shares at the discounted price? Such a company offers the potential for great returns for shareholders.

Consider Alco Stores (ALCS), formerly Duckwall-Alco, a company that has been previously discussed on this site as a potential value play. For months now, the company has been hinting that repurchases may start again, but yesterday their intentions were formalized. The company has entered into an agreement for an investment bank to repurchase shares on its behalf.

Several factors make this a positive for investors. First, as already mentioned, the stock is cheap relative to the balance sheet. The discount to net current assets is about 60% here, even though the company is not burning through cash. As such, book value and net current assets per share can only increase with buybacks.

Second, the transparency regarding pricing is fantastic. The company will buy back shares at up to $9.99 per share (shares currently trade at $6 and change). I don't know why more companies don't do this; it helps shareholders understand exactly how their capital will be allocated. Warren Buffett does it with his company, as he recently let it be known that he would start to buy back shares if they fell below 1.1x book value. Jewett-Cameron (JCTCF) is another one of those rare companies that was transparent in this regard, and subsequently executed a buyback that increased its share price considerably.

Finally, this is not a token buyback. Though the number of shares to be repurchased represents just under 5% of outstanding shares, the stock trades with low volume. As a result, this buyback actually represents almost 75 days worth of trades in this stock at its average volume! Needless to stay, the takeout of this many shares could serve to move the stock considerably.

Disclosure: Author has a long position in shares of ALCS


Anonymous said...

Do insiders hold much stock?

Christian said...

Saw a couple of your posts about Alco stores, and have been following the company myself. Does the lack of cash on the balance sheet cause you any concern? That is all that really concerns me.


Chris said...

Careful with this one. Margins have been in free fall as far back as we can see while (or because) the percentage of their stores "with competition" has steadily increased (i.e. growth of the dollar stores). It is also "curious" that management has changed its inventory accounting in each of the past two years.

Saj Karsan said...

Hi Anon,

Insiders own about $1 million worth of shares

Hi Christian,

Because the company has liquid assets well in excess of its line of credit, I'm not. Another company in a similar situation on the Stock Ideas page is H Paulin